Emas 24K – Independent Gold™

Monthly Report: Gold prices fall along with Silver in September 2011.

Posted on: October 21, 2011


Why Gold prices fell sharply along with Silver in September 2011??

Prices are now consolidating at higher levels, but the outlook is mixed, we still favour Gold and Silver!

  • The rally in the dollar is a sure sign of a pick-up in safe-haven buying – we think Gold will benefit from this now the initial sell-off has run its course.
  • The EU debt crisis looks set to come to a head soon – when it does the fall-out is likely to be bullish for Gold.
  • The net long position in Gold has fallen significantly – the market no longer looks overcrowded.
  • If Gold heads higher again, then Silver may have a lot of catching up to do – the Gold/Silver ratio is last at 1:51.

GOLD PRICES CONSOLIDATE AFTER A 20% CORRECTION – NEAR TERM UPSIDE FAVOURED.

Gold prices peaked at $1,921/oz on 6th September, they have since undergone a significant correction that took prices down to a low of $1,532/oz – a drop of 20%. Prices are now consolidating around the $1,650/oz level. The bears who had viewed Gold as a bubble market now probably feel vindicated. However, while we can see why some longs needed to take profits, we also feel that the arguments for holding Gold remain strong. Therefore we expect further price gains in the months ahead – although the next run higher might also signal the beginning of the end of this phase of the bull market.

THIS TRADING PATTERN HAS BEEN SEEN BEFORE.
We would say Gold is just repeating the pattern we have seen many times over the past decade, whereby a broad base sell-off initially carries Gold prices down as liquidation selling overwhelms the safe-haven buying. The secondary reaction is then to see safe-haven buying dominate again. Indeed, given we have noticed this pattern, others will have too, so safe-haven buyers probably now know it is best to wait a while – let prices really sell-off before buying again. The spike lower in prices on 26th September was caused by another hike in margin rates, which no doubt forced even more long liquidation – but that may well have now got the last of the weak longs out. However, after the volatility and with a far from perfect chart picture, buyers seem to be in no rush to return. There has been some buying, which has lifted prices $120/oz off the sell-off low, but follow through buying has yet to emerge.

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[Most Recent Quotes from www.11.com.my]

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Retail Gold Price (October 2011)

Federation of Goldsmiths Jewellers Association of Malaysia (FGJAM)

999 Gold    :      RM200.00/gm
916 Gold    :      RM189.00/gm

835 Gold    :      RM1792.00/gm
750 Gold    :      RM155.00/gm
375 Gold    :      RM 84.00/gm


updated on 21 Oct 2011.

UOB Malaysia Gold Price

UOB Malaysia Gold Price

UOB Singapore Gold Price

UOB Singapore Gold Price

Indonesia Fine Gold Price

Logam Mulia Gold Price

Maybank Gold Saving 2009

DATE
SELL (RM/g)
BUY (RM/g)
13-Nov-2009
122.87
117.77

Kijang Emas 2009


Kijang
            Emas

FRIDAY 13 Nov 2009
Size Sell  Buy
1 oz (31.1gm) 3,884 3,653
1/2 oz (15.5gm) 1,979 1,827
1/4 oz (7.77gm) 1,008 913
 

Public Bank Gold Saving 2009

DATE
SELL (RM/g)
BUY (RM/g)
13-Nov-2009
123.37
118.57

Kelantan Gold Dinar 2009

DATE
SELL (1dinar)
BUY (1dinar)
13-Nov-2009
521.00
465.00

Public Gold 2009

 Size PG Sell PG Buy
20gm RM 2,703 RM 2,541
50gm RM 6,726 RM 6,356
100gm RM 13,389 RM 12,720

Retail Gold Price (Nov 2009)

Federation of Goldsmiths Jewellers Association of Malaysia (FGJAM)

999 Gold    :      RM142.00/gm
916 Gold    :      RM134.00/gm

835 Gold    :      RM122.00/gm
750 Gold    :      RM110.00/gm
375 Gold    :      RM 59.00/gm


updated on 05 Nov 2009.

Retail Gold Price (Sept-Oct 09)

999 Gold    :      RM135.00/gm
916 Gold    :      RM127.00/gm

835 Gold    :      RM117.00/gm
750 Gold    :      RM105.00/gm
375 Gold    :      RM 57.00/gm


Retail Gold Price (May-Aug 09

999 Gold    :      RM130.00/gm
916 Gold    :      RM122.00/gm

835 Gold    :      RM112.00/gm
750 Gold    :      RM101.00/gm
375 Gold    :      RM 55.00/gm


Retail Gold Price (April 2009)

999 Gold    :      RM125.00/gm
916 Gold    :      RM117.00/gm

835 Gold    :      RM108.00/gm
750 Gold    :      RM 97.00/gm
375 Gold    :      RM 53.00/gm


Retail Gold Price (March 2009)

999 Gold    :      RM130.00/gm
916 Gold    :      RM122.00/gm

835 Gold    :      RM112.00/gm
750 Gold    :      RM101.00/gm
375 Gold    :      RM 55.00/gm


Kitco Gold Spot Price



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